Implications of Climate Change on the School Spatial Environment in Iraq

Abstract

The research aims to track the repercussions of climate change on the school spatial environment, as part of an attempt to build spatial models that reveal those climate changes that mix with their temporal boundaries for the school season in Iraq, and that knowing these changes is an attempt to follow the capabilities capable of adapting and mitigating events to respond to these changes and achieve the flexibility of concealment and continuity for the educational environment.

In order to simulate the trends of climate change temporally, a climate series of temperature data was selected for the location of ten spatial stations representing educational buildings that extended for half a century, with a total of (50) years from (1974 - 2023), during which statistical methods and climate evidence were used, such as the global temperature index (UTCI), whose results represented the technology of geographic information systems (GIS) in building spatial models of changes. The research results showed that the school season in Iraq, due to the repercussions of climate change, shifted the temperature of the series during (50) school seasons towards warming by (10.4+)%, and it was distributed between cold school seasons by (100)% for the decade (1974 - 1983) and (80)% for the decade (1984 - 1993), and hot school seasons by (70)% for the decade (1994 - 2003) and (80)% for the decade (2004 - 2013) and (90)% for the decade (2014 - 2023), which represents the future trend of warming for school seasons in Iraq. The research results prove that there is concern about the dates of the school year, according to the (UTCI) index: the start of the school year is delayed due to the dominance of the hottest regions, as the warm region in September declines from (40)% to (0)%, and the warmth increases within the school year, as the percentage of the warm region increases in November from (40)% to (60)% and in March from (0)% to (40)%. To accelerate the end of the school year to escape the summer heat conditions, as the change in the very hot region increased from (10)% to (60)% for May, and from (60)% to (100)% for June, confirming the early progress of summer heat conditions.